Todd Sarver: Complexity and Choice Under Uncertainty

Seminars - Economic Theory, Decision Theory and Experimental Economics
Speakers
TODD SARVER, Duke University
12:45pm - 2:00pm
room 3-E4-SR03 (Rontgen)
Babina

Abstract:

We introduce and characterize complexity constrained expected utility (CCEU) theory. Our representation can be interpreted as if the decision maker refines their understanding of an act (or lottery) by forming a partition of the set of outcomes and then taking a pessimistic evaluation of the act given this partition. The partition is generated sequentially using a greedy algorithm that examines each cell in the partition and only subdivides it further if the split would lead to a sufficiently large refinement of the understanding of the act. Our model can address well-known anomalies related to choice under uncertainty, including Allais-type behavior and violations of non-obvious dominance.

 

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